Sunday, August 13, 2017

The Power Rated Football Podcast:Episode 4, Part 2

In Part 2 of this week's podcast, I speak with Jay Lincoln-Thomas of @RedDirtSport on all things Oklahoma Sooners football for the 2017 season. We discuss the Bob Stoops to Lincoln Riley coaching change, personnel on both sides of the ball, recruiting, and of course, the state of the Big 12 overall. Listen in at the link below:

Power Rated Football Podcast: Episode 4, Part 1; The John Fitzgerald Interview

This week, for part one of our weekly podcast, I interview John Fitzgerald if Central Oklahoma. John is the current color analyst for the Bronchos, and was a three time All-American on the D2 level, and is a current candidate for the College Football Hall of Fame. We speak about Central Oklahoma football, his career, the Hall of Fame, and the MIAA. Here is John's bio:

In 1999, The Daily Oklahoman honored Fitzgerald by naming him to the All-Century State College Football team, which honored the best small college players from 1900–1999. Fitzgerald was named to that team following his sophomore season.[2]
In 2005, UCO honored Fitzgerald by naming him to the All-Century University of Central Oklahoma team. This was a team honoring the best football players in the 100 years of football played by the University of Central Oklahoma.[3]
In 2006, the Lone Star Conference celebrated its 75th Anniversary by selecting the 75 greatest football players in the history of the conference. Fitzgerald was one of six Bronchos named to this elite team.[4] During Fitzgerald's career at UCO, the Bronchos won 35 games. During 1997, UCO finished with a record of 9–2 and won the Lone Star Conference North Division Championship. In 1998, they had the most success of that four year span. The Bronchos finished the season 13–0 and ranked number one in the nation. They won the Lone Star Conference North Division Championship as well as the overall conference championship. They also won the NCAA West Regional Championship. In 1999, UCO started out 8-0, but finished the season with 3 straight losses. They still won their second straight overall conference championship. In 2000, UCO finished 5-5.
Fitzgerald was invited to the NFL Combine and trained with Chip Smith at Competitive Edge Sports in Atlanta, Georgia. While in Atlanta, Fitzgerald trained with NFL stars Rudi JohnsonAlge CrumplerChamp Bailey and Brian Urlacher. He suffered a shoulder injury that prevented a career in the National Football League.
Fitzgerald was also a standout track and field athlete while at Central Oklahoma. Fitzgerald twice qualified for the NCAA Indoor & Outdoor National Championships in the shotput and discus throw. During his time at UCO, he had a personal best in the discus of 180 feet 4 inches and a best in the shot of 52 feet 10.75 inches.
Fitzgerald is on the 2015 College Football Hall of Fame Ballot.
Here is the link to "The Power Rated Podcast: Episode 4, Part One"

College Football Trap Games For Week Zero/One

Every week in college football, there is what we call the "trap game". It's a game where a favorite should win, and in some cases handily, but there is an element of shock always apparent. Here are our first trap games for the 2017 season for week zero and week one, ranging from 8/26 through 9/4:

Oregon State at Colorado State (8/26)
Which Team Faces the Trap: Colorado State
The Rams are opening up a brand new on-campus stadium against the Beavers, and expectations are high. The game has been sold out for weeks, so expect the environment to be rowdy. If the Rams are too distracted by the new facilities, the Beavers, who showed some signs of life last season, could swoop in and ruin the party.

Hawaii at U Mass (8/26)
Which Team Faces the Trap: Hawaii
U Mass is absolutely terrible. Hawaii turned a corner by winning seven games last season. The Warriors don't do well when traveling across country, but should be an overwhelming favorite to win this game, but yet Vegas does not see them as that. Hawaii should be a 7 point favorite, but are showing up as a PK in some places.

Tulsa at Oklahoma State (8/31)
Which Team Faces the Trap: Oklahoma State 
James Washington may not be healthy for OSU. Tulsa lost a ton of stars after last season, but they have the talent to move the football on a team that did not play great defense last fall. Could this be the Central Michigan game of 2017 for the Cowboys?

Colorado State vs. Colorado @Denver (9/1)
Which Team Faces the Trap: Colorado
The Buffs won the PAC-12 South last season, but have lost some talent on both sides of the ball. Emotions are always high in this game. If the Rams are coming off of a home opening win, they may have the edge here on emotion alone.

Cal Poly at San Jose State (9/2)
Which Team Faces the Trap: San Jose State
The FCS Mustangs are a power/option running team, which makes the best Spartan defender, Andre Carchere, into a run stopper when he is a first rate pass stopper. If Cal Poly can control the tempo, we may have our first FCS upset of an FBS team in 2017.

Wyoming at Iowa (9/2)
The Trapped: Iowa
Iowa is almost a two TD favorite, but that discounts the ability of Cowboys QB Josh Allen, and what could be a surprising Wyoming defense. Remember, Iowa lost at home to North Dakota State last season at home.

Maryland at Texas (9/2)
The Trapped: Maryland
People are buying into the Tom Herman hype at Texas, but are totally discounting DJ Durkin and the Terps. That would be a mistake. Maryland could be a great bet on the spread, and could steal an upset as well.

Youngstown State at Pitt (9/2)
The Trapped: Pitt
The Penguins are the reigning FCS runner-up, while Pitt is moving on to Max Browne at QB, and has no James Connor. Pitt has traditionally struggled against early season supposed cupcake games, and YSU is looking for a huge get early.

Temple at Notre Dame (9/2)
The Trapped: Notre Dame
The Irish are a big favorite in the season opener as they try to bounce back from a massively disappointing season. The problem is that the Irish may not deserve that much love. Watch this game closely as it pertains to the future of Brian Kelly as head coach of the Irish.

Eastern Washington at Texas Tech
The Trapped: Texas Tech
EWU is an FCS power, and an offensive juggernaut, and really could play in just about any Group of 5 league. Texas Tech can't play all. The Red Raiders could end up being in for a huge surprise here.

James Madison at East Carolina
The Trapped: East Carolina
I am outright favoring JMU to win this game as the defending FCS champs actually outclass the Pirates across the board.

South Alabama at Ole Miss
The Trapped: Ole Miss
With all they have going on, the Rebels are a 24 point favorite against the team that beat Mississippi State last season. I'm not buying it, and neither should you.

Northern Iowa at Iowa State
The Trapped: Iowa State
The Cyclones could be the most improved team in the Big 12, but if they find a way to trip up against the UNI Panthers, projections could quickly change. ISU has historically had some struggles against their FCS rival.

Vanderbilt at Middle Tennessee
The Trapped: Vanderbilt
The Commodores are a minor favorite here, but MT is the better team coming into the season, especially on offense. Watch the passing game of  the Blue Raiders, which should be the difference.

BYU vs. LSU at Houston
The Trapped: LSU
The Cougars return their star QB from 2015 in Tanner Mangum, and may have a sneaky good run game.  The real battle will be the battle between LSU RB Darius Guice and the BYU defense. LSU is getting too much point spread love here.

NFL Draft Prospectus 2018: Top 15 Quarterbacks

As part of our new menu of areas that I am covering in 2017/18, we will be covering year round analysis of the 2018 NFL Draft through our NFL Draft Prospectus series. In this post, I give you my top 15 quaterbacks who are eligible for the NFL 2018 Draft. I will keep updated weekly rankings by position, and we begin here.

Top 15 QBs
1. Sam Darnold USC:
Saved the Trojans in 2016, has a good head on his shoulders.

2. Josh Allen, Wyoming:
Rapidly rising prospect has the mentality and desirable size/arm.

3. Lamar Jackosn, Louisville:
He's Cam Newton but can throw from the pocket.

4. Riley Ferguson, Memphis:
Big, underrated arm, and will wake some folks up this fall.

5. Josh Rosen, UCLA:
Falling rapidly on our big board, as production and personality take hits.

6. Chase Litton, Marshall:
Good player on a bad team last season, has size and max arm.

7. Jarrett Stidham, Auburn:
Will have to prove he is more than  system guy at Auburn.

8.Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State:
Has accuracy and does not turn the ball over.

9. Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma:
May not have the size, but he has the skills.

10. Luke Falk, Washington State:
System guy, but has skills and head that are coachable.

11. DeAndre Francois, Florida State:
Young gun who has a lot riding in his RS soph season.

12. Jake Browning, Washington:
Was a bit beat up by the end of last season, could rise quickly.

13. Kyle Allen, Houston:
Has one year under his belt, but needs to show what he has in friendly offense.

14. Tanner Mangum, BYU:
 He has guts and game, and with Taysom Hill gone, he has the spotlight.

15. Brett Rypien, Boise State: Does not get a ton of love, but he is a gamer.

Friday, August 11, 2017

Bilo's Spreads For FBS and FCS Games Week Zero and Week One

Welcome to the first ever "Bilo's Point Spreads" for 2017! I have created my very own point spreads for every FBS and FCS game played for week zero and week one this week, and will do so every week this season. This reflects where I think that each game should fall, and these lines are not for betting purposes, and are for entertainment purposes only. 

Colorado State -6 Oregon State
BYU -34 Portland State
Hawaii -3.5 U Mass
USF -24.5 San Jose State
Stanford -34 Rice

Wake Forest -22 Presbyterian
Cincinnati -42 Austin Peay
Minnesota -30 Buffalo
Georgia State -18.5 Tennessee State
Toledo -45 Elon
Central Michigan -32 Rhode Island
Oklahoma State -21 Tulsa
U Conn -22 Holy Cross
Utah -27.5 North Dakota
Ohio State -24 Indiana
Arkansas -48 Florida A&M
Memphis -28 UL-Monroe
Idaho -25 Sacramento State
Arizona State -31.5 New Mexico State

Army -10.5 Fordham
Eastern Michigan -14 Charlotte
Syracuse -38 Central Connecticut
Navy -26 FAU
Colorado -10 Colorado State
Washington -35 Rutgers
Wisconsin -31 Utah State
Northern Illinois -2.5 Boston College

North Texas 15 Lamar
Baylor -37 Liberty
New Mexico -25 Abilene Christian
Fresno State -21 Incarnate Word
Hawaii 28.5 Western Carolina
San Jose State 5.5 Cal Poly
Air Force 27.5 VMI
Missouri 41 Missouri State
Illinois 9 Ball State
Iowa 4 Wyoming
Michigan state -21.5 Bowling Green
Penn State -35 Akron
Texas -7.5 Maryland
Clemson 35 Kent State
North Carolina 8 California
Miami 47.5 Bethune-Cookman
Pittsburgh 9.5 Youngstown State
Oregon State 17 Portland State
NC State -6.5 South Carolina
Florida 3.5 Michigan
Notre Dame 17 Temple
Oklahoma 46.5 UTEP
Northwestern 26 Nevada
UAB -14 Alabama A&M
Virginia -5.5 William & Mary
Boise State -6 Troy
USF -38 Stony Brook
Eastern Washington -1.5 Texas Tech
Kentucky -4 Southern Miss
Mississippi State -31 Charleston Southern
USC -28 Western Michigan
Duke -31 North Carolina Central
James Madison -5 East Carolina
Old Dominion -13 Albany
Georgia -15 Appalachian State
Marshall -2 Miami (Ohio)
Ohio -24 Hampton
UL-Lafayette -14.5 SE Louisiana
Texas State -17 Houston Baptist
Kansas -22 SE Missouri State
Houston -20 UTSA
Western Kentucky -27 Eastern Kentucky
Louisiana Tech -32 Northwestern State
SMU -28.5 Stephen F Austin
Tulane -12 Grambling
Coastal Carolina -4.5 U Mass
Kansas State -19 Central Arkansas
Auburn -23 Georgia Southern
Ole Miss -10 South Alabama
Louisville -28 Purdue
Nebraska -16 Arkansas State
TCU -48 Jackson State
Alabama -3.5 Florida State
Iowa State -11 Northern Iowa
Middle Tennessee -4.5 Vanderbilt
Oregon   -49 Southern Utah
San Diego State -38.5 UC Davis
UNLV -31 Howard
Washington State -34 Montana State
Arizona -23 Northern Arizona

Texas A&M -7 UCLA
West Virginia -10 Virginia Tech

Georgia Tech -2 Tennessee

Texas Southern -5.5 Florida A&M
Jacksonville State -2.5 Chattanooga
Cal Poly -10 Colgate

Sam Houston State -4 Richmond

Idaho State -28.5 Western Oregon
Wagner -22 St. Anselm
Morehead State -35 Kentucky Christian
Samford -7.5 Kennesaw State
Delaware -20 Delaware State
New Hampshire -17.5 Maine
Western Illinois -14 Tennessee Tech
Eastern Illinois -16.5 Indiana State
Murray State -33 Kentucky Wesleyan
Campbell -28 Methodist
UT-Martin -31 Clarion
Mercer -13.5 Jacksonville
South Dakota State -10 Duquesne
McNeese State -27 Nicholls State

Towson -25 Morgan State
Montana -40.5 Valporaiso
Nothern Colorado -50 College of Idaho
St. Francis -27 Lock Haven
Dayton -7.5 Robert Morris
Villanova -12 Lehigh
Monmouth 3.5 Lafayatte
Bryant -9.5 Merrimack
North Dakota State -43 Mississippi Valley State
San Diego -25 Western New Mexico
Norfolk State -17 Virginia State
Citadel -27 Newberry
Wofford -5.5 Furman
Bucknell -1.5 Marist
Sacred Heart -14 Stetson
North Carolina A&T -6 Gardner-Webb
South Dakota -4.5 Drake
East Tennessee State -17.5 Limestone
Alcorn State -28 Miles
Davidson -24.5 Brevard
UA Pine Bluff -8.5 Morehouse
Illinois State 17 Butler
Weber State 38 Montana Western
Alabama State -3.5 Tuskegee
Prairie View -5 Texas Southern

South Carolina State -8.5 Southern

Bilo's Week In College Football 2017: Episode 1

It's time for the weekly print update for what has happened in the world of college football this week! We are just a bit over two weeks away from the opening of the 2017 college football season, and camps are in order. Here is an update of what has happened this week:

Two major injuries too place this week, with one costing a player the season, and one potentially costing a title contender at least a month, or nothing at all.
Oklahoma State has possibly lost star receiver James Washington for up to a month with a hernia injury that took place in practice Thursday. The injury could cost Washington the entire non con part of their schedule, but some sources have stated that he has intentions to play through the injury. Nothing on this story has been confirmed to a comfortable lesson, so everything out of Stillwater is unknown at this hour.
At Wisconsin, the story is completely confirmed that LB Jack Cinchy has a torn ACL, and will miss the season. Chris Orr will step into his spot on the depth chart, but that leaves an empty spot behind him on the second team depth chart. Wisconsin should be fine, but it's never good to lose major depth this early in the process

Josh Rosen of UCLA is popping off at the mouth again, after most felt that he was trying to slow  his motor mouth this season. During an interview that took place earlier in the spring, he stated that "football and school don't mix", and that if Alabama raised their SAT standards, they'd be a different team. Schools have been playing college football for over a century now, so his argument of football and school not mixing seems moot, as there is a ton of history to refute his take. As far as Alabama is concerned, he may have a better argument, but he is only devaluing himself and his draft stock by speaking out of turn. Josh Allen and Sam Darnold continue to keep their mouths shut, and avoid controversy, and their stocks are soaring. Rosen keeps on talking, and his is falling. Do the math.

The last note for tonight is on Les Miles, as he has now stated that he will work for "several" media outlets during the 2017 season after failing to secure a coaching gig. He had stated before that this was not what he wanted to do, but here we are...

More news as it progresses.

Week One Division 2 College Football Picks

The 2017 college football is kicking off in three weeks for Division 2, and it is that time again to post my picks for the opening games of the season. Here are my D2 football picks for games played on 8/31 and 9/2 it should be a strong week for road teams and members of the PSAC!

Upper Iowa over Minnesota Crookston
California (PA) over Ohio Dominican
West Chester over Bentley
Angelo State over McKendree
Carson-Newman over Pikeville
Catawba over St. Augustine's
Clark Atlanta over Mississippi College
Concord over West Virginia Wesleyan
East Stroudsburg over Fairmont State
Glenville State over Virginia-Wise
Grand Valley State over Indianapolis
IUP over Ashland
Lenoir-Rhyne over West Alabama
Minnesota State over Mary
Michigan Tech over Truman State
Minnesota-Duluth over Sioux Falls
New Mexico Highlands over Dixie State
North Alabama over Texas A&M Commerce
North Greenville over Tusculum
Northern State over Wayne State (NE)
Ouachita Baptist over NW Oklahoma
SE Oklahoma over Southern Nazarene
Findlay over Tiffin
UNC Pembroke over Winston-Salem State
West Liberty over Urbana
South Dakota Mines over William Jewell
Winona State over Bemidji State
Southern Arkansas over Arkansas Tech
Central Missouri over Pittsburg State
Central Oklahoma over Lindenwood
Concordia St. Paul over Minot State
Colorado State-Pueblo over Colorado Mines
Harding over Henderson State
Midwestern State over Quincy
Missouri Southern over Fort Hays
Missouri Western over Nebraska-Kearney
Washburn over Northeastern State
NW Missouri State over Emporia State
St. Cloud State over SW Minnesota
West Georgia over Fort Valley State
Colorado Mesa over Western State
SW Baptist over Eastern New Mexico

Saginaw Valley over Alderson-Broaddus
Bloomsburg over Stonehill
Edinboro over Lake Erie
Kutztown over Assumption
Mercyhurst over Hillsdale
Northwood over Siena Heights
Southern Connecticut over Gannon
Lock Haven over St. Francis
Charleston over West Virginia State
Elizabeth City State over Central State
Cheyney over Lincoln (PA)
Slippery Rock over Kentucky State
East Central over Oklahoma Baptist
New Haven over Shaw
Shepherd over Notre Dame (Ohio)
Shippensburg over American International
Shorter over Mars Hill
Lane over Texas College
Wayne State (MI) over Walsh
Augustana over Minnesota-Moorhead
Black Hills State over Adams State
Fort Lewis over Chadron State
Delta State over Tarleton State
Langston over Lincoln (MO)
Seton Hill over Bowie State
Benedict over Livingstone
Chowan over Fayetteville State
Johnson C Smith over Wingate
Millersville over Pace
Malone over Taylor
Valdosta State over Albany State
SW Oklahoma over Arkansas-Monticello
Texas-Permian Basin over Sul Ross
West Texas A&M over Azusa Pacific
Florida Tech over Virginia-Lynchburg
West Florida over Missouri S&T
Texas A&M Kingsville over Central Washington
Humboldt State over CETYS (Mexico)
Simon Fraser over Arizona Christian

Bilo's College Football FBS Picks Against the Spread: Week Zero and Week One

Here are my picks against the spread (ATS) for week zero and week one college football picks for FBS football, as we we open the 2017 college football season!

August 26

Favorite Spread Underdog Bilo's Pick
COLORADO STATE -3.5 Oregon State CSU
Hawaii PK U MASS Hawaii
South Florida -20 SAN JOSE STATE USF
Stanford -31.5 Rice Stanford
Ohio State -21.5 INDIANA Ohio State
MINNESOTA -26.5 Buffalo MINN
ARIZONA STATE -25.5 New Mexico State ASU
UCF -17.5 Florida International UCF
Washington  -30.5 RUTGERS Washington
WISCONSIN -29 Utah State Wisconsin
COLORADO -7 Colorado State Colorado
MICHIGAN STATE  -20 Bowling Green MSU
IOWA -13 Wyoming Wyoming
MARSHALL PK Miami (Ohio) Marshall
PENN STATE -33 Akron Penn State
Louisville -26 Purdue Louisville
NEBRASKA -16 Arkansas State Huskers
ILLINOIS -7.5 Ball State Illinois
OLE MISS -24 South Alabama USA
USC -27 Western Michigan USC
TEXAS -17 Maryland Maryland
NOTRE DAME -15 Temple Notre Dame
AUBURN -35 Georgia Southern Ga.Southern
GEORGIA -14 Appalachian State UGA
Houston -13 UTSA Houston
NC STATE -5.5 South Carolina NC STATE
Michigan   -3.5 Florida GATORS
Alabama -7 Florida State FSU
BOISE STATE -12.5 Troy Troy
VIRGINIA TECH -4.5 West Virginia WVU
UCLA -3.5 Texas A&M AGGIES
Tennessee -3.5 GEORGIA TECH GT

Week Zero and Week One FBS and FCS Straight Up Winner Picks

With Week Zero quickly approaching, it's time to unveil my straight up winner picks for FBS and FCS games for the opening weeks of the 2017 college football season!

Week Zero (August 26 and 27)
Colorado State over Oregon State
BYU over Portland State
Hawaii over U Mass
USF over San Jose State
Stanford over Rice
FCS Games
Texas Southern over Florida A&M
Jacksonville State over Chattanooga
Cal Poly over Colgate
Sam Houston State over Richmond
Week One (August 31-September 4)
UCF over FIU
Wake Forest over Presbyterian
Cincinnati over Austin Peay
Minnesota over Buffalo
Georgia State over Tennessee State
Toledo over Elon
Central Michigan over Rhode Island
Oklahoma State over Tulsa
U Conn over Holy Cross
Utah over North Dakota
Ohio State over Indiana
Arkansas over Florida A&M
Memphis over UL-Monroe
Idaho over Sacramento State
Arizona State over New Mexico State
Army over Fordham
Eastern Michigan over Charlotte
Syracuse over Central Connecticut State
Navy over FAU
Colorado over Colorado State
Washington over Rutgers
Wisconsin over Utah State
Northern Illinois over Boston College

North Texas over Lamar
Baylor over Liberty
New Mexico over Abilene Christian
Fresno State over Incarnate Word
Hawaii over Western Carolina
San Jose State over Cal Poly
Air Force over VMI
Missouri over Missouri State
Illinois over Ball State
Wyoming over Iowa
Michigan State over Bowling Green
Penn State over Akron
Texas over Maryland
Clemson over Kent State
North Carolina over California
Miami over Bethune-Cookman
Pittsburgh over Youngstown State
Oregon State over Portland State
NC State over South Carolina
Florida over Michigan
Notre Dame over Temple
Oklahoma over UTEP
Northwestern over Nevada
UAB over Alabama A&M
Virginia over William & Mary
Boise State over Troy
USF over Stony Brook
Eastern Washington over Texas Tech
Kentucky over Southern Mississippi
Mississippi State over Charleston Southern
USC over Western Michigan
Duke over North Carolina Central
James Madison over East Carolina
Old Dominion over Albany
Georgia over Appalachian State
Marshall over Miami (Ohio)
Ohio over Hampton
UL-Lafayette over SE Louisiana
Texas State over Houston Baptist
Kansas over SE Missouri State
Houston over UTSA
Western Kentucky over Eastern Kentucky
Louisiana Tech over Northwestern State
SMU over Stephen F Austin
Tulane over Grambling
Coastal Carolina over U Mass
Kansas State over Central Arkansas
Auburn over Georgia Southern
Ole Miss over South Alabama
Louisville over Purdue
Nebraska over Arkansas State
TCU over Jackson State
Alabama over Florida State
Iowa State over Northern Iowa
Middle Tennessee over Vanderbilt
Oregon ovr Southern Utah
San Diego State over UC Davis
UNLV over Howard
LSU over BYU
Washington State over Montana State
Arizona over Northern Arizona
Texas A&M over UCLA
West Virginia over Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech over Tennessee


Morehead State over Kentucky Christian
Wagner over St. Anselm
Delaware over Delaware State
New Hampshire over Maine
Eastern Illinois over Indiana State
Samford over Kennesaw State
Campbell over Methodist
Mercer over Jacksonville
Western Illinois over Tennessee Tech
UT-Martin over Clarion
Murray State over Kentucky Wesleyan
South Dakota State over Duquesne
McNeese State over Nicholls State
Idaho State over Western Oregon

Dayton over Robert Morris
St. Francis over Lock Haven
Villanova over Lehigh
Montana over Valporaiso
Monmouth over Lafayette
Bryant over Merrimack
North Dakota State over Mississippi Valley State
Northern Colorado over College of Idaho
San Diego over Western New Mexico
Towson over Morgan State
Norfolk State over Virginia State
Wofford over Furman
Citadel over Newberry
Sacred Heart over Stetson
Bucknell over Marist
North Carolina A&T over Gardner-Webb
Alcorn State over Miles
South Dakota over Drake
East Tennessee State over Limestone
Davidson over Brevard
Arkansas-Pine Bluff over Morehouse
Illinois State over Butler
Weber State over Montana Western
Alabama State over Tuskegee

South Carolina State over Southern

Wednesday, August 9, 2017

8/9/17 Scott Bilo VSiN Appearance on "Follow the Money"

If you missed my appearance on "Follow the Money" with Paul Howard and Mitch Moss, follow the link below. We spoke of long shots for the CFB and conference titles, and also Heisman favorites and long shots.

Sunday, August 6, 2017

Power Rated Football Podcast: Episode 3

Welcome to the "Power Rated Football Podcast: Episode 3". Tonight I talk Oklahoma Sooners, Tennessee Volunteers, LSU Tigers, Oregon State Beavers, point spreads for both zero week and week one, the death of Qualcomm Stadium, and what it means to both San Diego State and the Holiday Bowl, and much more! Follow the link:

Join us again next Monday, August 14, as I will be joined by guests that will be announced this week!

Saturday, August 5, 2017

How I Would Restructure Power 5, Group of 5, Into Separate Divisions

There has been an uptick in talk about how the best thing for college football moving forward would be for the Power Five Schools to go their own ways and form up new divisions and playoff structures. The conversation was prominent at the Mountain West Football Media Summit here in Las Vegas, and the feelings were largely split, with Craig Thompson, the Mountain West commissioner taking a fence riding stance on it. Most coaches were against it and stated that they would rather keep poking the tiger in the cage to allow for an expanded playoff, something that the current power brokers are loathe to do. If they don't want it, you can be sure that it will not happen.

It is time for the Group of Five presidents, ADs, and coaches to stop living the lie. The media knows it, the fans know it, and anyone with a brain can clearly see that life in FBS football for those not in the current Power Five structure sucks. Group of 5 schools are playing in useless lower tier bowl games, mostly at a cash loss in front of at least half empty stadiums, and have no hope at ever breaking the current playoff barrier. That will not change in the next eight years, when a new TV deal is getting done, and it won't likely change then either. Nothing has changed in the last 30 years. The power conferences and ESPN dangle the carrot, and the G5 conferences keep on acting as the whore to the pimp, doing what they are told, or getting left out in the cold. It's time to end that dance, and put the lie to bed. It's time for a restructure of the Power 5 and Group of 5, and it's time for separate divisions, and I am just the person to line it up.

In this article, I will line up two separate divisions, and will go back in time to refer to them as division 1-A, and division 1-AA. We leave the current Division 1 structure alone for the purpose of other sports. In so doing, I would abolish the ridiculous legislation that insists that a university play all sports in D1 if they play even one sport in D1. That has been more damaging to college athletics than just about any other legislation in the last 30 years in college athletics. In so doing, we would allow the bottom tier current FCS schools to play a more comfortable level of D2 football without breaking their budgets, or forcing them into big contract road games that crush their programs on a yearly basis with injuries for the sake of making some money. For those who don't agree, and who need that cash to survive, my answer is simple. You need to drop football, or athletics in general if that is what it takes for you to have athletics.

Here is my lineup of what a new 1-A, and a new 1-AA would look like:

Division 1-A
Wake Forest
NC State
North Carolina
Georgia Tech
Oklahoma State
Iowa State
Kansas State
Michigan State
Ohio State
Fresno State
Arizona State
Washington State
Mississippi State
Ole Miss
Texas A&M
Texas Tech
Air Force
San Diego State
Colorado State
New Mexico
Florida State
South Carolina
Penn State
Notre Dame
West Virginia
Boston College
East Carolina
Virginia Tech
Boise State

Division 1-AA
Eastern Michigan
Kent State
Miami (Ohio)
Bowling Green
Western Michigan
Central Michigan
Ball State
San Jose State
Utah State
New Mexico State
Southern Miss
Northern Illinois
U Conn
Western Kentucky
Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech
North Texas
U Mass
Appalachian State
Arkansas State
Georgia Southern
South Alabama
Georgia State
Texas State
Eastern Washington
North Dakota
Weber State
Cal Poly
Southern Utah
N. Colorado
N. Arizona
Sacramento State
Montana State
Portland State
UC Davis
Idaho State
James Madison
New Hampshire
Stony Brook
William & Mary
Coastal Carolina
North Dakota State
South Dakota State
Youngstown State
Illinois State
Northern Iowa
Western Illinois
South Dakota
Missouri State
Indiana State
Southern Illinois
Jax State
Tennessee Tech
Tennessee State
Murray State
Eastern Illinois
SE Missouri State
Holy Cross
E. Tennessee State
Western Carolina
Sam Houton State
Central Arkansas
SE Louisiana
McNeese State
Stephen F Austin
Incarnate Word
Abilene Christian
Houston Baptsit
Northwestern  State
Former FCS Teams Who WOuld Be Moved to D2
Charleston Southern
Kennesaw State
Rhode Island
NC Central
SC State
Florida A&M
Norfolk State
Savannah State
Morgan State
Delaware State
St. Francis
Sacred Heart
Robert Morris
C. Connecticut State
San Diego 
Morehead State
Alcorn State
Alabama A&M
Alabama State
Jackson State
Miss. Valley State
Prairie View
Texas Southern

Northeast Conference 2017 Football Projections

It appears that the NEC is once again a two team race, with Duquesne and St. Francis set to run the show for another year. The rest of the league appears wide open from the 3 to 7 spots, and the question is can anyone chase the Red Flash or the Dukes this fall?

1. Duquesne: AJ Hines rushed for 1291 yards as a freshman, will be key piece to the offense.
2. St. Francis: Kamron Lewis is one of the best receivers in FCS football, Flash are pushing for title.
3. Wagner: The only team that can really push top 2, defense will lead the way.
4. Sacred Heart: Pioneers lost their final 4 games last fall, will look to bounce back.
5. Central Connecticut: Blue Devils have not had a winning season in 7 years.
6. Robert Morris: Colonials averaged just 11.1 points per game last fall.
7. Bryant: Marty Fine is out as coach, James Perry, former Princeton OC, is in.

Missouri Valley Conference 2017 Football Projections

The Missouri Valley has become the power broker in FCS football, even if they only took foour teams to the playoffs last season, after sending five each of the prior two seasons. The league did not win a national title for the first time in six tries. The conference is loaded once again, and could be back to five playoff births. Here are our projections for the Missouri Valley Conference this fall:

1. North Dakota State: Five year title run was snapped last season, and the Bison are angry.
2. South Dakota State: The offense is loaded, and the Jackrabbits appear ready to push for MVC title.
3. Youngstown State: The Penguins got to the title game under Bo Pelini, but have some losses.
4. Illinois State: Redbirds have been solid, but stepped back just a bit, and a rebound could come.
5. Northern Iowa: UNI has never had consecutive losing seasons under coach Mark Farley.
6. Western Illinois: Leathernecks will battle UNI for the final playoff spot out of the MVC.
7. South Dakota: QB Chris Streveler could be best young QB in the conference.
8. Southern Illinois: Saluki program has been sliding of late, and the slide continues in 2017.
9. Indiana State: Curt Mallory takes over as head coach, but cupboard is empty.
10. Missouri State: Bears improved last season, but will still battle Sycamores for last place.

Friday, August 4, 2017

MEAC 2017 Football Projections

The MEAC has been a three team battle between North Carolina A&T, North Carolina Central, and SOuth Carolina State for a few seasons now, and it seems that it will still be the case in 2017. After the top three teams, the rest of the conference is wide open. Here are our projections for 2017 in the MEAC:

1. North Carolina Central: Malcolm Bell is gone at QB, but so much more returns.
2. North Carolina A&T: Aggies will be trying to find a replacement at RB, but are still loaded.
3. South Carolina State: Played three FBS teams last fall, but won't do so again.
4. Bethune-Cookman: Discipline breakdown led to leading FCS in penalties last fall.
5. Norfolk State: Defense looks to be much improved, but offense has to catch up.
6. Hampton: Pirates were quite young in 2016, now that youth is experienced.
7. Florida A&M: Rattlers climbing back up from the dark days, but the slate is tough.
8. Morgan State: Fred Farrier is now the full time head coach, and the pressure begins.
9. Howard: Mike London returns to FCS roots, will try to get Bison going.
10. Savannah State: Tigers won 3 MEAC games last season, but will still fight to stay out of cellar.
11. Delaware State: Kenny Carter is just 1-21 as head coach, and wins must come now.

Thursday, August 3, 2017

Ivy League 2017 Football Projections

Harvard was finally pushed off the top of the Ivy League heap in 2016, and will try to fight their way back in 2017. with Penn still in front of them, can the Crimson take down the Quakers this fall?

1. Penn: Quakers return leagues top rusher and receiver, and 8 starters on defense.
2. Harvard: Defense may make the difference, but top rusher and receiver return as well.
3. Princeton: John Lovett is back after 31 total scores last fall, Tigers are a dark horse.
4. Yale: Bulldogs struggled with youth last season, but are more experienced coming back.
5. Dartmouth: QB Jack Heneghan is the key for the Big Green, as Dartmouth fell flat in 2016.
6. Brown: 3 of 4 top receivers are gone for the Bears, who love to throw the ball.
7. Cornell: Dalton Banks needs to find a new WR corps to throw to in 2017.
8. Columbia: Lions have questions across the board on defense, look to stay in cellar.

Colonial Athletic Association 2017 Football Projections

James Madison brought a national title to the CAA last season, and they appear loaded once again. Will this season be another glorious season for one of the best leagues in FCS football?

1. James Madison: The Dukes are in solid shape to make a repeat run at the national title.
2. Richmond: Spiders look like a playoff lock after hiring Russ Huesman as coach.
3. Villanova: Mark Ferrante takes over as head coach, Wildcats look to make another playoff run.
4. New Hampshire: Wildcats open season in league play, have a shot at a quick start.
5. Albany: Great Danes have some nice pieces, beat UNH and Buffalo last season.
6. William & Mary: WRs are loaded, but a QB is needed.
7. Maine: Bears can make a splash by beating UNH in opener, are a bubble team for playoffs.
8. Stony Brook: Defense is rock solid, but offense needs to step up.
9. Delaware: Danny Rocco took the challenge of getting the Blue Hens back on track.
10. Towson: Tigers finished with 3 straight wins, but finding stars will be a task in camp.
11. Elon: Curt Cignetti comes over from D2 IUP, and may be the guy to turn the Phoenix around.
12. Rhode Island: Rams had worst rush attack in CAA last season, will try to stay out of the cellar.

Big South 2017 Football Projections

The conference is bleeding members, with Coastal Carolina and Liberty both either heading out the door, or already out. North Alabama may be on their way in from D2. How will the league hold together in 2017 with so much change happening?

1. Charleston Southern: Bucs are a favorite to win the league despite Jamey Chadwell leaving.
2. Kennesaw State: Owls are a team that could push for a league title, have big play options.
3. Gardner-Webb: Tyrell Maxwell (QB) may be the best offensive player in the league.
4. Liberty: Flames are not eligible for league title as they head to FBS football next fall.
5. Monmouth: Hawks are an enigma in 2017, could finish high or low, and nobody knows which.
6. Presbyterian: The Blue Hose are slated to be the league punching bags once again.