Wednesday, December 5, 2018

PRS Football Rankings Week 14: FBS Edition

The final regular season numbers are in for our weekly PRS Rankings for College Football for the 2018 season. The regular season and championship games are now completed with one exception, being the Army-Navy tilt this coming weekend. This will be the last release for rankings until after the bowl season has ended, and then our final season rankings will be released.

There was one very interesting finding in these rankings, regarding the top 4. Ohio State finished ranked 4th, just one single point ahead of Notre Dame, who finished 5th. I have been a huge advocate of Notre Dame being in the playoff, where they received the 3rd overall spot over the weekend. I personally value the undefeated season, which is why I would have slotted Notre Dame in over the Buckeyes in this particular case, but now based on the final PRS rankings, maybe I could be mistaken, but the separation is beyond razor thin, and the two are almost indistinguishable from one another.

In this particular ranking, Oklahoma finished 3rd, whereas the committee ranked them 4th. In our scenario, Alabama would have played Ohio State, and Clemson would have played Oklahoma in the opening round, with Notre Dame likely headed to the Rose Bowl or Fiesta Bowl. There was also an opportunity, by our numbers, to have Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl, as they are a plug and play piece for any of the NY6 bowls.

UCF, who finished undefeated once again, and won our 2017 national championship, finished 6th for the regular season, and would be due to move up a couple of spots. What cost UCF in the rankings here was the loss of their 12th regular season game, which had not been rescheduled. We very well could have seen a top 4 ranking for the Knights had that game been played. Of course in these rankings, if you do not play, you do not get the credit.

Georgia, who many, especially in the South, argued for including the Bulldogs into the playoffs even after their Alabama loss (and an earlier loss to LSU by 20), finished 7th. I had tweeted out all weekend, and into the week, that there would be no equation showing an argument for Georgia getting in, and this shows it in plain text, that Georgia should not have been considered, especially as a 2 loss team that had no won an available conference title. Inclusion would have been an argument with no defense with Oklahoma and Ohio State as one loss conference champs, and Notre Dame and UCF both sitting at 12-0.

Our rankings have always been fair to G5 programs, as we do not designate P5 and G5, only FBS as a total. In spirit of that belief, Fresno State finished ranked 8th, with Utah State finishing at 9th after spending a chunk of the season in the top 10. Michigan, who missed out on the Big 10 title game after a loss to Ohio State, finished 10th.

Here are the complete rankings, 1-130:

Rank Points Team Record Opponent
1 3103 Alabama  13-0 Def. Georgia 35-28
2 3052 Clemson  13-0 Def. Pittsburgh 42-10
3 2765 Oklahoma  12-1 Def. Texas 39-27
4 2696 Ohio State  12-1 Def. Northwestern 45-24
5 2695 Notre Dame  12-0 Regular Season Over
6 2613 UCF  12-0 Def. Memphis 56-41
7 2132 Georgia  11-2 Lost to Alabama 35-28
8 2101 Fresno State  11-2 Def. Boise State 19-16 OT
9 2031 Utah State  10-2 Regular Season Over
10 2023 Michigan  10-2 Regular Season Over
11 1865 Appalachian State  10-2 Def. Louisiana-Lafayette 30-19
12 1833 Boise State  10-3 Lost to Fresno State 19-16 OT
13 1832 Cincinnati  10-2 Regular Season Over
14 1784 Washington State  10-2 Regular Season Over
15 1634 Buffalo  10-3 Lost to Northern Illinois 30-29
16 1595 UAB  10-3 Def. Middle Tennessee State 27-25
17 1590 Penn State  9-3 Regular Season Over
18 1528 Washington  10-3 Def. Utah 10-3
19 1483 Syracuse  9-3 Regular Season Over
20 1454 North Texas  9-3 Regular Season Over
21 1408 North Carolina State  9-3 Def. East Carolina 58-3
22 1373 Texas  9-4 Lost to Oklahoma 39-27
23 1350 Georgia Southern  9-3 Regular Season Over
24 1330 LSU  9-3 Regular Season Over
25 1313 Army  9-2 Bye
26 1301 Troy  9-3 Regular Season Over
27 1286 West Virginia  8-3 Regular Season Over
28 1245 Kentucky  9-3 Regular Season Over
29 1238 Ohio  8-4 Regular Season Over
30 1214 Utah  9-4 Lost to Washington 10-3
31 1181 Houston  8-4 Regular Season Over
32 1158 Temple  8-4 Regular Season Over
33 1140 Florida  9-3 Regular Season Over
34 1080 Middle Tennessee   8-5 Lost to UAB 27-25
35 1057 Texas A&M  8-4 Regular Season Over
36 1042 Missouri  8-4 Regular Season Over
37 1014 FIU  8-4 Regular Season Over
38 1011 Memphis  8-5 Lost to Central Florida 56-41
39 1009 Iowa  8-4 Regular Season Over
40 1006 Oregon  8-4 Regular Season Over
41 985 Mississippi State  8-4 Regular Season Over
42 952 Arkansas State  8-4 Regular Season Over
43 945 Stanford  8-4 Def. California 23-13
44 912 Marshall  8-4 Lost to Virginia Tech 41-20
45 850 Northern Illinois  8-5 Def. Buffalo 30-29
46 847 Iowa State  8-4 Def. Drake 27-24
47 809 Northwestern  8-5 Lost to Ohio State 45-24
48 745 Arizona State  7-5 Regular Season Over
49 711 Wisconsin  7-5 Regular Season Over
50 708 Toledo  7-5 Regular Season Over
51 679 Nevada  7-5 Regular Season Over
52 669 Georgia Tech  7-5 Regular Season Over
53T 668 Hawaii  8-5 Regular Season Over
53T 651 Miami (FL)  7-5 Regular Season Over
55 559 Michigan State  7-5 Regular Season Over
56 557 South Carolina  7-5 Def. Akron 28-3
57 548 Boston College  7-5 Regular Season Over
58 545 Eastern Michigan  7-5 Regular Season Over
59 533 Purdue  6-6 Regular Season Over
60 530 Auburn  7-5 Regular Season Over
61 528 Western Michigan  7-5 Regular Season Over
62 526 Pittsburgh  7-6 Lost to Clemson 42-10
63 521 Virginia  7-5 Regular Season Over
64 490 Louisiana Tech  7-5 Regular Season Over
65 488 USF  7-5 Regular Season Over
66 467 Duke  7-5 Regular Season Over
67 411 Louisiana-Lafayette  7-6 Lost to Appalachian State 30-19
68 403 San Diego State  7-5 Regular Season Over
69 401 California  7-5 Lost to Stanford 23-13
70 368 Miami (OH)  6-6 Regular Season Over
71 303 Southern Mississippi  6-5 Regular Season Over
72 299 Minnesota  6-6 Regular Season Over
73 275 Oklahoma State  6-6 Regular Season Over
74 170 BYU  6-6 Regular Season Over
75 132 Vanderbilt  6-6 Regular Season Over
76 130 Wake Forest  6-6 Regular Season Over
77 123 Lousiana Monroe  6-6 Regular Season Over
78 121 Tulane  6-6 Regular Season Over
79 94 Texas Christain  6-6 Regular Season Over
80 89 Baylor  6-6 Regular Season Over
81 84 Virginia Tech  6-6 Def. Marshall 41-20
82 65 Wyoming  6-6 Regular Season Over
83 -10 Maryland  5-7 Regular Season Over
84 -44 Liberty  6-6 Def. Norfolk State 52-17
85 -46 USC  5-7 Regular Season Over
86 -54 Texas Tech  5-7 Regular Season Over
87 -124 Air Force  5-7 Regular Season Over
88 -125 Indiana  5-7 Regular Season Over
89 -226 Colorado  5-7 Regular Season Over
90 -246 Mississippi  5-7 Regular Season Over
91 -251 Arizona  5-7 Regular Season Over
92 -256 SMU  5-7 Regular Season Over
93 -269 FAU  5-7 Regular Season Over
94 -335 Charlotte  5-7 Regular Season Over
95 -342 Kansas State  5-7 Regular Season Over
96 -398 Tennessee  5-7 Regular Season Over
97 -411 Florida State  5-7 Regular Season Over
98 -600 Nebraska  4-8 Regular Season Over
99 -618 Old Dominion  4-8 Regular Season Over
100 -640 Massachusetts  4-8 Regular Season Over
101 -653 UNLV  4-8 Regular Season Over
102 -693 Ball State  4-8 Regular Season Over
103 -710 Coastal Carolina  5-7 Regular Season Over
104 -713 Akron  4-8 Lost to South Carolina 28-3
105 -733 Illinois  4-8 Regular Season Over
106 -923 UCLA  3-9 Regular Season Over
107T -928 Kansas  3-9 Regular Season Over
107T -928 Western Kentucky  3-9 Regular Season Over
109 -990 Navy  3-9 Bye
110 -1015 Tulsa  3-9 Regular Season Over
111 -1043 North Carolina  2-9 Regular Season Over
112 -1045 Colorado State  3-9 Regular Season Over
113 -1058 New Mexico  3-9 Regular Season Over
114 -1084 UTSA  3-9 Regular Season Over
115 -1092 New Mexico State  3-9 Regular Season Over
116 -1130 South Alabama  3-9 Regular Season Over
117 -1138 Bowling Green   3-9 Regular Season Over
118 -1144 Texas State  3-9 Regular Season Over
119 -1152 East Carolina  3-9 Lost to North Carolina State 58-3
120 -1420 Kent State  2-10 Regular Season Over
121 -1449 Georgia State  2-10 Regular Season Over
122 -1520 Oregon State  2-10 Regular Season Over
123 -1552 Arkansas  2-10 Regular Season Over
124 -1686 Louisville  2-10 Regular Season Over
125 -1727 Rice  2-11 Regular Season Over
126 -1729 San Jose State  1-11 Regular Season Over
127 -1842 UTEP  1-11 Regular Season Over
128 -1853 Rutgers  1-11 Regular Season Over
129 -1883 Central Michigan  1-11 Regular Season Over
130 -2029 Connecticut  1-11 Regular Season Over

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