Wednesday, September 12, 2012

FBS PRS Top 25 Week 2

Here is a look at our FBS rankings after two weeks of the FBS College Football Season. Every week, we rank every team in FBS, FCS, and D2 college football using our own system that has been in place for 30 years. Here is a look at our top 25 after two weeks, followed by a link to see where every school ranked from top to bottom.

1. USC Trojans (2-0, 493)
The Trojans have been on an early roll, winning big at home against Hawaii to open, and then convincingly taking a road trip to NYC to take out Syracuse. The boys from Troy appear to be back in the thick of a title hunt. Stanford comes next, and the Trojans should handle themselves quite well.

2. Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0, 488)
The Crimson Tide has been unstoppable early, routing both Michigan in Dallas, and shutting down Western Kentucky at home. If the Tide had laid it on a bit thicker on the Hilltoppers, they'd be number one this week, but they backed off the throttle, coming up short by five points.

3. Georgia Bulldogs (2-0, 478)
The Bulldogs easily took care of Buffalo in the opener at home, and then poured it on in the 4th on the road in Columbia to take out Missouri. The Bulldogs had a scare through 3 quarters, trailing 17-9, but blew up in the 4th, taking a 21 point win (41-20). That game propelled the Bulldogs to the win, which places Georgia ahead in the SEC race.

4. UCLA Bruins (2-0, 466)
One of the more surprising teams in the nation, Jim Mora has changed the culture in Westwood rather quickly. The one thing that's impressive, is that these Bruins adjust to situations and set the pace, rather than cpitulate to someone else's pace. Nobody thought that the Bruins would beat Nebraska, but they did, and now the Bruins fear no team now.

5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-0, 463)
The Irish are on their way back thanks to steady play from QB Everett Golston. Brian Kelly has his team on a decent trajectory, but after en easy road win over Navy, and a tight home win over fired up Purdue, ND gets their first major test of the season, as they travel to East Lansing to play the Michigan State Spartans. This week is huge in the development of the Irish.

6. Ohio Bobcats (2-0, 462)
The Bobcats are the frontrunners in the MAC, and they have been nothing short of impressive early, beating Penn State on the road, and then blowing out New Mexico State at home. Frank Solich has his Bobcats playing their A game, and the Bobcats are not easily intimidated. I look for the winning to continue for a while.

7. Clemson Tigers (2-0, 460)
The Tigers have not had Sammy Watkins in their first two games, and it was no problem as Clemson has rolled past Auburn and Ball State to start 2012. They get Watkins back this week, but play FCS member Furman, so the Tigers will likely drop, as the PRS does not credit full points for wins over FCS programs.

8. South Carolina Gamecocks (2-0, 457)
The Gamecocks got an early scare at Vanderbilt, but bounced back for a nice win against the defensive minded Commodores. Last weekend saw no such struggle as SC rolled past east Carolina by 38. Connor Shaw is still doubtful this week, but the Gamecocks shouold have it easy against UAB, and will likely climb again.

9. Ohio State Buckeyes (2-0, 448)
Urban Meyer has pulled off two early miracles. He has the Buckeyes playing up despite sanctions, and he has Braxton Miller playing like a top flight option QB. Miller leads all QBs in rushing, and he has been passing well also. OSU should roll Cal at home in columbus this weekend.

10t. LSU Tigers (2-0, 447)
The Tigers have not lost a step, as they have blown out both North Texas and Washington at home. The only problem is that you get more PRS points for playing on the road, and LSU rarely does that early.Tigers get another cupcake this week at home in the form of Idaho, and will win easily, allowing a likely climb into the top ten proper.

10t. Texas Longhorns (2-0, 447)
The Horns have shown some consistency this season in coming back from the debacle of 2011. Mack Brown has found a solid QB in David Ash, but they have not yet found a front line RB. Easy wins have dotted the schedule against New Mexico and Wyoming, and in reality, the Horns should win big on the road against Ole Miss this week.

12. Michigan State Spartans (2-0, 446)
The Spartans opened with a huge home win against Boise State, and that game was brutal for the Spartans. That's why taking a road trip to play Central Michigan was a welcome change, as the Spartans rolled to a 41-7 road win, lifting them high into the PRS rankings this week. MSU gets another major test this week when Notre Dame comes to town in a major clash of two top 15 PRS teams.

13. Oregon Ducks (2-0, 439)
The Ducks blew up for 51 in the first half against Arkansas State, but then fell off of the throttle in the second half, a tactic that they basically would repeat last weekend against Fresno State. If the Ducks kept up the tempo, even when up big early, they'd likely be a top 10 team in the PRS right now. I'd like to see a complete game from them soon. Ducks will fall in the PRS this week as they take on FC Tennessee Tech, which will give no credit.

14. Northwestern Wildcats (2-0, 426)
The Cats took a wild road win at Syracuse to open, after almost giving that game away. They followed that up at home last weekend with a solid dog fight against Vanderbilt, coming away with a 23-13 win. Northwestern stays home this weekend against Boston college, and I am looking for a big game from the Cats. Look for Northwestern to be one of those sneaky teams that nobody takes seriously until late.

15. Iowa State Cyclones (2-0, 415)
Paul Rhoades is at it again in Ames, winning a game each at home and on the road, with the road win coming against arch rival Iowa, an ugly contest that ended at 9-6 with lackluster run games for both teams. ISU is playing above their station right now, and will likely even off, but a bowl is seriously a real option this season. The Cyclones wil slide with a game against Western Illinois of the FCS ranks this weekend. Again, there's no credit for that.

16. Florida Gators (2-0, 413)
The Gators have not been pretty, but they have grinded out a home win over Bowling Green (it was closer than it should have been), and a road win over Texas A&M. The Gators have still not had a solid full game yet, and had better have one this weekend on the road at Tennessee.

17. Arizona Wildcats (2-0, 411)
The Wildcats have been solid in Rich Rodriguez's first season in the desert, beating a strong Toledo club in OT before piling up a shocking 59-38 win over Oklahoma State. This will be an easy week, with FCS member South Carolina State coming to town, but again, FCS games hurt you in the PRS rankings, as they barely count.

18. Stanford Cardinal (2-0, 410)
Stanford has not had it easy to start this season, struggling to a win over Bay Area rival San Jose State, before beating up on hapless Duke last weekend. The Cardinal is trying to adjust to life after Andrew Luck, and Josh Nunes is not Andrew Luck. That being said, he has been credible, but not great. #1 USC comes to town this weekend, and the Cardinal may just realize just how different their makeup is this season.

19. Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0, 344)
The Red Raiders have gotten off to a strong start against a not so strong schedule. They get another easy dog on the schedule this week as New Mexico travels to Lubbock. The Raiders should roll again this week, and will move up in the PRS rankings.

20. Oklahoma Sooners (2-0, 297)
Oklahoma worries me as a power this season, as they opened with an ugly road win over UTEP before pounding FCS member Florida A&M last weekend. The Sooners showed some serious flaws in the opener, and will have a bye this week, which will likely knock the Sooners out of the top 25, s they will not gain points this week.

21. Indiana Hoosiers (2-0, 291)
The start to 2012 is so much better than the start to 2011 for Indiana. The Hoosiers did struggle like hell to put away FCS member Indiana State in the opener, but they came back with a vengence last weekend at UMass to rout the Minutemen 45-6. Ball State comes to Bloomigton this weekend, and the Cardinals upset the Hoosiers last year. It could happen again if the Hoosiers aren't prepared.

22. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (2-0, 290)
A huge win over Troy on the road last weekedn put the Cajuns to the head of the Sun Belt race early in the season, but also pressed them back into the top 25 of the PRS, where they spent time last season. ULL is looking to have a dog fight in Sun Belt play, but they can play outside as well. This will be the toughest week so far, as they travel to Stillwater to take on an angry Oklahoma State club.

23. Tennessee Volunteers (2-0, 287)
Derek Dooley is under tremendous pressure to win this season in Knoxville, and the Vols have responded with two resounding wins over NC State and FCS member Georgia State for their first two weekends. This weekend is all chips on the table with the hated Gators coming into Knoxville for what is likely to be a war. If Dooley handles Florida, the seat cools tremendously.

24t. Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0, 283)
Arizona State has not beaten an impressive opponent yet (N. Arizona, Illinois), but they have won impressively in those two tilts at home. This is a big week for ASU, as they travel to play reeling Missouri, who just lost at home by 21 to Georgia. This is a great chance for ASU to impress, and move up in the PRS rankings, as a win on the road here would be huge.

24t. Kansas State Wildcats (2-0, 283)
The Wildcats shocked me big time when they hammered Miami into the ground last weekend 52-13, as they were coming off a relatively ok performance against Missouri State of FCS fame. I am still not sure if we should buy in on K-State just yet, as Miami is just not very good. This weekend lacks a chance for us to really know what this team is about with North Texas coming to town. Should be another easy win.

For teams ranked 26-124, READ MORE

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